缅北禁地

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Staff Profile

Dr Abdullah Kahraman

Senior Researcher in Severe Weather and Climate Change

Background

Dr. Kahraman is an atmospheric scientist specializing in mesoscale meteorology, with a background spanning weather forecasting, numerical modelling, severe convection research, and teaching. His graduate work focused on the climatology and predictability of severe convective storms and associated hazardous phenomena such as tornadoes and large hail.


He joined the Water Group at 缅北禁地 in 2019 to investigate future changes in convective weather hazards across Europe. He is primarily based at the Met Office Hadley Centre in Exeter (within Climate Processes and Projections team), where he uses high-resolution climate simulations alongside a range of observational datasets.


His recent research has revealed along with . His work also suggests .


Currently, Dr. Kahraman’s research focuses on responses of other convective weather hazards to anthropogenic climate change, and their multi-scale drivers. He also actively contributes to multidisciplinary research efforts, notably through the .

Research

Kahraman is mainly interested in severe convective storms and their hazards (i.e. thunderstorms, tornadoes, large hail, damaging winds, lightning, and heavy rainfall leading to flash floods) with a particular focus on their drivers and future changes.


Selected lead-author papers:

1. (Within the top 1% of all Nature Communications papers, based on ). See the press release and a from the university. Featured by Nature editors in , widely covered in media.

2. (Within the top 4% of all ERL papers, based on ). See the press release from the university. Widely covered in media, e.g. interview with (in German).

3. (Within the top 0.1 % of all GRL papers, based on . >100 citations on as of 2025). See the press release from the university. Widely covered around the world (~1000 news outlet), e.g. interview with .

4.

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For full list of journal articles, see "Publications".

Teaching

Taught Weather Analysis and Forecasting (Synoptic Meteorology 1 & 2), Mesoscale Meteorology, Severe Weather Forecasting, Satellite and Radar Meteorology, Atmospheric Radiation, and Aviation Meteorology for three years in Turkey, where he was an Assistant Professor of Meteorology before joining 缅北禁地. 


Teaching contributions at 缅北禁地 include the graduate module CEG8526 (Hydrosystems Modelling and Management).


Currently co-supervising two PhD students working on precipitation extremes and severe weather affecting aviation.


Supervised one MSc student on precipitation extremes and several undergraduate students on various topics in meteorology and its applications.


Interested in supervising postgraduate students who are passionate about severe weather.

Publications

  • Articles

    • Kahraman A, Kendon EJ, Fowler HJ, Short CJ. . Nature Communications 2025, 16, 1-14.
    • Kahraman A, Kendon EJ, Fowler HJ. . Climate Dynamics 2024, 62, 6625-6642.
    • Wells HM, Hillier J, Garry FK, Dunstone N, Clark MR, Kahraman A, Chen H. . Atmospheric Research 2024, 309, 107569.
    • Chan SC, Kendon EJ, Fowler HJ, Kahraman A, Crook C, Ban N, Prein AF. . Communications Earth & Environment 2023, 4, 8.
    • Lewis H, Bowyer J, Broad AL, Chamberlain-Clay A, Jones C, Chan S, Kahraman A, Morcrette C. . Weather 2022, 77(11), 391-395.
    • Papagiannaki K, Petrucci O, Diakakis M, Kotroni V, Aceto L, Bianchi C, Brazdil R, Gelabert MG, Inbar M, Kahraman A, Kilic O, Krahn A, Kreibich H, Llasat MC, Llasat-Botija M, MacDonald N, deBrito MM, Mercuri M, Pereira SS, Rehor J, Geli JR, Salvati P, Vinet F, Zezere JL. . Scientific Data 2022, 9, 166.
    • Kahraman A, Kendon EJ, Fowler HJ, Wilkinson JM. . Environmental Research Letters 2022, 17(11), 114023.
    • Fowler HJ, Ali H, Allan RP, Ban N, Barbero R, Berg P, Blenkinsop S, Cabi NS, Chan S, Dale M, Dunn RJH, Ekstrom M, Evans JP, Fosser G, Golding B, Guerreiro SB, Hegerl GC, Kahraman A, Kendon EJ, Lenderink G, Lewis E, Li X, O'Gorman PA, Orr HG, Peat KL, Prein AF, Pritchard D, Schar C, Sharma A, Stott PA, Villalobos-Herrera R, Villarini G, Wasko C, Wehner MF, Westra S, Whitford A. . Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences 2021, 379(2195), 20190542.
    • Kahraman A. . Weather 2021, 76(4), 129-134.
    • Kahraman A, Kendon EJ, Chan S, Fowler HJ. . Geophysical Research Letters 2021, 48(13), e2020GL092361.
    • Kahraman A, Ural D, Önol B. . Atmosphere 2020, 11(8), 1-18.
    • Vinet F, Bigot V, Petrucci O, Papagiannaki K, Llasat C, Kotroni V, Boissier L, Aceto L, Grimalt M, Llasat-Botija M, Pasqua AA, Rosselo J, Kiliç O, Kahraman A, Tramblay Y. . Water 2019, 11(10), 1-27.
    • Petrucci O, Aceto L, Bianchi C, Bigot V, Brazdil R, Pereira SS, Kahraman A, Kiliç O, Kotroni V, Llasat MC, Llasat-Botija M, Papagiannaki K, Pasqua A, Rehor J, Geli JR, Salvati P, Vinet F, Zezere JL. . Water 2019, 11(8), 1-28.
    • Incecik S, Sakarya S, Tilev-Tanriover S, Kahraman A, Aksoy B, Caliskan E, Topcu S, Kahya C, Odman MT. . Atmosfera 2019, 32(2), 143-158.
    • Kahraman A, Kadioglu M, Markowski PM. . Monthly Weather Review 2017, 145(12), 4711-4725.
    • Kahraman A, Tilev-Tanriover S, Kadioglu M, Schultz DM, Markowski PM. . Monthly Weather Review 2016, 144(1), 337-346.
    • Tilev-Tanriover S, Kahraman A. . Weather 2015, 70(5), 145-150.
    • Tilev-Tanriover S, Kahraman A, Kadioglu M, Schultz DM. . Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 2015, 15(8), 1881-1888.
    • Kahraman A, Markowski PM. . Monthly Weather Review 2014, 142(6), 2345-2352.
    • Tilev-Tanriover S, Kahraman A. . Atmospheric Science Letters 2014, 15(3), 159-165.

  • Book Chapters

    • Barutcu B, Tilev-Tanriover S, Sakarya S, Incecik S, Sayinta FM, Caliskan E, Kahraman A, Aksoy B, Kahya C, Topcu S. . In: Ibrahim Dincer, C. Ozgur Colpan, Onder Kizilkan, M. Akif Ezan, ed. Progress in Clean Energy. Switzerland: Springer, Cham, 2015, pp.291-299.
    • Tilev-Tanriover S, Kahraman A, Incecik S, Deniz A, Toros H, Celebi HM, Ozturk A, Sezen I. . In: Douw G. Steyn, Peter J.H. Builtjes, Renske M.A. Timmermans, ed. Air Pollution Modeling and its Application. Dordrecht: Springer Dordrecht, 2014, pp.685-692.

  • Research Datasets/Databases

    • Petrucci O, Aceto L, Bianchi C, Brazdil R, Diakakis M, Inbar M, Kahraman A, Kilic O, Krahn A, Kreibich H, Kotroni V, de Brito MM, Llasat MC, Llasat-Botija M, Mercuri M, Papagiannaki K, Pereira S, Rehor J, Rossello-Geli J, Salvati P, Vinet F, Zezere JL. . 2022. https://doi.org/10.4121/14754999: 4TU.ResearchData, 906539 bytes.
    • Petrucci A, Aceto LA, Bianchi C, Bigot V, Brazdil R, Pereira S, Inbar M, Kahraman A, Kilic O, Kotroni V, Llasat MC, Llasat-Botija M, Mercuri M, Papagiannaki K, Pasqua AA, Rehor J, Rossello-Geli J, Salvati P, Vinet F, Zezere JL. . 2019. 4TU.Centre for Research Data, 139kb.