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Staff Profile

Professor Chris Kilsby

Professor of Hydrology and Climate Change

  • Address: School of Engineering
    Room 3.18, Cassie Building
    缅北禁地
    缅北禁地 upon Tyne
    NE1 7RU
Background

Chris Kilsby is Professor of Hydrology and Climate Change in the School of Engineering. 

Background

Chris joined the School in 1991 from the UK Met Office and has since carried out research and teaching on many aspects of engineering in the water sector ranging including hydrological risk (drought and flood risk) as well as national infrastructure. His work is now predominantly in the context of climate change impacts, sustainability and adaptation responses for the future including Blue Green infrastructure in cities.

Roles and Responsibilities

He was Director of Civil and Geospatial Engineering until 2023 and is Senior Academic for 缅北禁地's membership of the Willis Research Network. 

Qualifications

BSc Hons (Physics) 1983             

Chartered Meteorologist (CMet.) 1997

Memberships

Fellow of Royal Meteorological Society, 1984-

Member of British Hydrological Society (affiliated to Institution of Civil Engineers) 1997-

Industrial experience

30 years of consultancy experience covering climate change impact assessments, urban drainage studies, water resource modelling for inter alia:  UKWIR (UK Water Industry Research), Northumbrian Water Ltd., Royal Haskoning, Atkins, WRc., Southern Water Services, REECE Foundation, Wills Towers Watson, Gallagher Re.

He led the development and operation of the Weather Generator component of the national climate scenarios, UKCP09, for DEFRA.

Previous employment with research division of British Steel Corporation (1980-1983), UK Met Office (1983-1991).  

Google Scholar: . 

Also ORCID 0000-0003-3422-294X,  and 

Research

Chris began his research career at the Met Research Flight of the UK Met Office carrying out research into radiation transfer in the atmosphere for use in climate change modelling. He moved to 缅北禁地 where he started work as a Research Associate on Mediterranean climate change and hydrology and large scale hydrological modelling. Since then he has researched many aspects of the water sector, particularly focussed on extremes and climate change impacts and adaptation, ranging from drought to flood risk.

The scope of the work has been from small catchments up to continental scale and has covered many parts of the world. An increasing emphasis in recent years has been on the hydrology and drainage of cities, increasingly in the context of climate change impacts and adaptation responses.

A major theme has been the use of simulation models for both generating rainfall scenarios as well as simulating hydrologic and hydraulic responses of natural and man-made infrastructure systems. Much of this work has used stochastic approaches for rainfall and climate scenario modelling. His recent work includes leading the Weather Generator component of the UKCP09 national climate scenarios. He is Senior Academic for 缅北禁地's involvement with the Willis Research Network : Willis are a leading international insurance broker and the research is directed at improving understanding and simulation of flood risk worldwide.


Principal or co-investigator of the following projects:


OpenClim : Open Climate Impacts Modelling Framework NE/T013931/1 2020-2023

Water Infrastructure and Resilience (WIRe) EPSRC CDT 2019- EP/S023666/1

Flood-PREPARED: Predicting Rainfall Events by Physical Analytics of REaltime Data NERC 2017-2021

MISTRAL: Multi-scale Infrastructure Systems Analytics EPSRC 2016-2020

Urban Flood Resilience in an Uncertain Future EPSRC 2016-2019 EP/P004334/1

The creation of localized current and future weather for the built environment EPSRC 2015-2018 

Previous

Flood MEMORY -  Multi-Event Modelling Of Risk & recoverY EPSRC 2013-2016

Blue Green Cities - Delivering and evaluating multiple flood risk benefits EPSRC 2013-2016

RESNET - Resilient Electricity Networks for Great Britain EPSRC 2011-2014

ITRC: Infrastructure Transition Research programme: EPSRC, 2011-2016

Senior Academic Willis Research Network project on extreme rainfall 2011- date

ARCADIA: Adaptation and Resilience in Cities: Analysis and Decision making using Integrated Assessment  EPSRC 2009-2012

Platform Grant “Earth Systems Engineering” EPSRC 2008-2013

UKCP09  Weather Generator DEFRA   2007-11 (PI)

 

Current Postgraduate Research Students


Ali Leonard, Christos Iliadis, Sven Berendson, Asid Ur Rehman


Previous Postgraduate Research Students


2022 Amy Green “Improving radar rainfall estimates for flood risk using Monte Carlo ensemble simulation”

2019 Fergus McClean “Broad‐scale flood modelling in the cloud: validation and sensitivities from hazard to impact”

2019 Robert Bertsch “Exploring new technologies for simulation and analysis of urban floods”

2019 Miles Clement “Flood Extent and Volume Estimation using Multi-Temporal Synthetic Aperture Radar”.

2019 Doug Richardson “The predictability of UK drought using European weather patterns”

2019 Aidan Robson “Microbial Source Tracking for the UK Water Industry”, 

2019 Francesco Castellani : Fraction of Attributable Risk in an Interdependent Network facing Cascading Failures

2019 Michael Pollock “Quantifying and mitigating wind-induced undercatch in rainfall measurements” 

2017 Alex Leathard: A Water Grid for the UK, (First supervisor)

2017 Golnaz Jahanshahi “Uncertainties in the long term management of water resource”

2016 Elizabeth Lewis: Developing UK wide hydrological models for climate change impacts and analysis of floods and droughts”

2014 Selma Guerreiro: Climate change and water resources in Iberia

2014 Hongbin Zhang: Urban Flood Simulation by Coupling Hydrological and Hydraulic Models

2013 Nathan Forsythe: Investigating the impact of climate change on hydro-climatological variability and water resources in the Upper Indus Basin

2013 Linda Speight: A methodology for systems based flood risk analysis in the UK with particular reference to insurance risk exposure 

2012 Mari Jones: Characterising and modelling time-varying rainfall extremes and their climatic drivers

2011 Jamie Ledingham: The estimation of flood frequency curves by mapping from rainfall frequency curve

2011 Andrew Collier: Extreme value analysis of non-stationary processes : a study of extreme rainfall under changing climate

2010 Ian Coleman: Detection and Characterisation of Groundwater Discharge in West Cumbria

2009 Mark Wilkinson: A multiscale nested experiment for understanding and prediction of high rainfall and flood response spatial behaviour in the Eden catchment, Cumbria, UK

2009 Andrew Smith: A national scale rainfall analysis and event-based model of extremes for the UK

2004 Claire Walsh: Simulation and analysis of River flow regimes: implications for sustainable management of Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) under climate change

2000 Hayley Fowler: The impacts of climatic change and variability on water resources in Yorkshire

Teaching

 Module leader for :

CEG3001 Design of Sustainable Engineering Solutions

CEG8523 Flood modelling and forecasting 

Contributor to:

CEG3004: Sustainable Engineering Systems Design Project

CEG3503: Hydrosystems Modelling 

Publications

  • Articles

    • Iliadis C, Galiatsatou P, Glenis V, Prinos P, Kilsby C. . Hydrology 2023, 10(8), 172.
    • Zan R, Blackburn A, Plaimart J, Acharya K, Walsh C, Stirling R, Kilsby C, Werner D. . Science of The Total Environment 2023, 889, 164282.
    • Iliadis C, Glenis V, Kilsby C. . Water 2023, 15(19), 3395.
    • Suroso S, Santoso PB, Birkinshaw S, Kilsby C, Badossy A, Aldrian E. . Journal of Hydroinformatics 2023, 25(3), 797–814.
    • Mckenna J, Glenis V, Kilsby C. . Applied Mathematics and Computation 2023, 447, 127870.
    • Serinaldi F, Lombardo F, Kilsby CG. . Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 2022, 36, 1373-1395.
    • Serinaldi F, Briganti R, Kilsby CG, Dodd N. . Coastal Engineering 2022, 176, 104164.
    • Bathurst JC, Hagon H, Hambly Barton F, Iroumé A, Kilbride A, Kilsby C. . Hydrological Processes 2022, 36(5), e14585.
    • Bardossy A, Kilsby C, Birkinshaw S, Wang N, Anwar F. . Frontiers in Water 2022, 4, 836554.
    • Bertsch R, Glenis V, Kilsby C. . Environmental Modelling and Software 2022, 156, 105490.
    • Zan R, Acharya K, Blackburn A, Kilsby CG, Werner D. . Water 2022, 14(8), 1224.
    • Birkinshaw SJ, Kilsby C, O'donnell G, Quinn P, Adams R, Wilkinson ME. . Water 2021, 13(18), 2521.
    • Birkinshaw SJ, O'Donnell G, Glenis V, Kilsby C. . Journal of Hydrology 2021, 594, 125884.
    • Richardson D, Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, Neal R, Dankers R. . Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 2020, 20(1), 107-124.
    • McClean F, Dawson RJ, Kilsby CG. . Water Resources Research 2020, 56(10), e2020WR028241.
    • Serinaldi F, Chebana F, Kilsby CG. . Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 2020, 34(5), 733-754.
    • Serinaldi F, Lombardo F, Kilsby CG. . Advances in Water Resources 2020, 144, 103686.
    • Richardson D, Kilsby CG, Fowler HJ, Bardossy A. . International Journal of Climatology 2019, 39(4), 2041-2056.
    • O'Donnell E, Thorne C, Ahilan S, Arthur S, Birkinshaw S, Butler D, Dawson D, Everett G, Fenner R, Glenis V, Kapetas L, Kilsby C, Krivtsov V, Lamond J, Maskrey S, O'Donnell G, Potter K, Vercruysse K, Vilcan T, Wright N. . Blue-Green Systems 2019, 1(1), 172-189.
    • Jones C, Cherry B, Kilsby C. . Public Sector Executive 2019, Feb/Mar 2019.
    • Zhang R, Corte-Real J, Moreira M, Kilsby C, Birkinshaw S, Burton A, Fowler HJ, Forsythe N, Nunes JP, Sampaio E, dos Santos FL, Mourato S. . International Journal of Climatology 2019, 39(6), 2947-2963.
    • Zhang R, CorteReal J, Moreira M, Kilsby C, Burton A, Fowler HJ, Blenkinsop S, Birkinshaw S, Forsythe N, Nunes JP, Sampaio E. . International Journal of Climatology 2019, 39(13), 4985-5005.
    • Vercruysse K, Dawson DA, Glenis V, Bertsch R, Wright N, Kilsby C. . Journal of Hydrology 2019, 578, 124038.
    • Ledingham J, Archer D, Lewis E, Fowler H, Kilsby C. . Hydrology Research 2019, 50(5), 1309-1323.
    • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG, Lombardo F. . Advances in Water Resources 2018, 111, 132-155.
    • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. . Water Resources Research 2018, 54(9), 6460-6487.
    • Pollock MD, O'Donnell G, Quinn P, Dutton M, Black A, Wilkinson M, Colli M, Stagnaro M, Lanza LG, Lewis E, Kilsby CG, O'Connell PE. . Water Resources Research 2018, 54(6), 3863-3875.
    • Clement MA, Kilsby CG, Moore P. . Journal of Flood Risk Management 2018, 11(2), 152-168.
    • Jones C, Kilsby C, Cherry B. . Water Industry Journal 2018, 58-59.
    • Fu G, Wilkinson S, Dawson RJ, Fowler HJ, Kilsby C, Panteli M, Mancarella P. . IEEE Systems Journal 2018, 12(4), 3169-3180.
    • Janes V, Holman I, Birkinshaw S, O'Donnell G, Kilsby C. . Earth Surface Processes and Landforms 2018, 43(1), 124-133.
    • Guerreiro SB, Dawson RJ, Kilsby C, Lewis E, Ford A. . Environmental Research Letters 2018, 13(3), 034009.
    • Serinaldi F, Loecker F, Kilsby CG, Bast H. . Natural Hazards 2018, 94(1), 71–92.
    • Lewis E, Birkinshaw S, Kilsby C, Fowler HJ. . Environmental Modelling & Software 2018, 108, 102-110.
    • Jenkins KL, Hall JW, Glenis V, Kilsby C. . Risk Analysis 2018, 38(6), 1169-1182.
    • Richardson D, Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, Neal R. . International Journal of Climatology 2018, 38(2), 630-648.
    • Glenis V, Kutija V, Kilsby CG. . Environmental Modelling & Software 2018, 109, 272-292.
    • Bertsch R, Glenis V, Kilsby C. . Water 2017, 9(12), 925.
    • Guerreiro SB, Glenis V, Dawson RJ, Kilsby C. . Water 2017, 9(4), 296.
    • Guerreiro SB, Birkinshaw S, Kilsby C, Fowler HJ, Lewis E. . Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies 2017, 12, 238-252.
    • Guerreiro SB, Kilsby C, Fowler HJ. . International Journal of Climatology 2017, 37(15), 5024-5034.
    • Speight LJ, Hall JW, Kilsby CG. . Journal of Flood Risk Management 2017, 10(1), 124-137.
    • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. . Risk Analysis 2017, 37(10), 1958-1976.
    • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. . Water 2016, 8(4), 152.
    • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. . Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 2016, 30(2), 763-777.
    • Tye MR, Blenkinsop S, Fowler HJ, Stephenson DB, Kilsby CG. . Journal of Hydrology 2016, 537, 117-129.
    • Guerreiro SB, Kilsby CG, Fowler HJ. . Climatic Change 2016, 135(3), 467-480.
    • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. . Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 2016, 450, 585-600.
    • Darch GJC, McSweeney RT, Kilsby CG, Jones PD, Osborn TJ, Tomlinson JE. . Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers - Water Management 2016, 169(5), 201-211.
    • Walsh CL, Blenkinsop S, Fowler HJ, Burton A, Dawson RJ, Glenis V, Manning LJ, Jahanshahi G, Kilsby CG. . Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 2016, 20, 1869-1884.
    • Serinaldi F, Bárdossy A, Kilsby CG. . Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment 2015, 29(4), 1211-1233.
    • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. . Advances in Water Resources 2015, 77, 17-36.
    • Byers E, Qadrdan M, Leathard A, Alderson D, Hall JW, Amezaga JM, Tran M, Kilsby CG, Chaudry M. . Proceedings of the ICE - Energy 2015, 168(3), 188-204.
    • Glenis V, Pinamonti V, Hall J, Kilsby C. . Advances in Water Resources 2015, 85, 14-26.
    • Forsythe N, Hardy AJ, Fowler HJ, Blenkinsop S, Kilsby CG, Archer DR, Hashmi MZ. . Journal of Climate 2015, 28(9), 3537-3556.
    • Tomlinson JE, McSweeney RT, Darch GJC, Kilsby CG. . Proceedings of the ICE - Water Management 2014, 167(6), 318-321.
    • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. . Journal of Hydrology 2014, 512, 285-302.
    • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. . Water Resources Research 2014, 50(1), 336-352.
    • Jenkins K, Hall J, Glenis V, Kilsby C, McCarthy M, Goodess C, Smith D, Malleson N, Birkin M. . Climatic Change 2014, 124(1-2), 105-117.
    • Jones M, Blenkinsop S, Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG. . International Journal of Climatology 2014, 34(3), 751-765.
    • Zhang HB, Wang YL, Liang QH, Smith LS, Kilsby CG. . Journal of Hydroinformatics 2014, 16(5), 1158-1177.
    • Hou J, Liang Q, Zhang H, Hinkelmann R. . Computers & Mathematics with Applications 2014, 68(12), 2012-2027.
    • Jenkins K, Gilbey M, Hall J, Glenis V, Kilsby C. . Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment 2014, 30, 1-9.
    • Merz B, Aerts J, Arnbjerg-Nielsen K, Baldi M, Becker A, Bichet A, Bloschl G, Bouwer LM, Brauer A, Cioffi F, Delgado JM, Gocht M, Guzzetti F, Harrigan S, Hirschboeck K, Kilsby C, Kron W, Kwon HH, Lall U, Merz R, Nissen K, Salvatti P, Swierczynski T, Ulbrich U, Viglione A, Ward PJ, Weiler M, Wilhelm B, Nied M. . Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 2014, 14(7), 1921-1942.
    • Lawson E, Thorne C, Ahilan S, Allen D, Arthur S, Everett G, Fenner R, Glenis V, Guan D, Hoang L, Kilsby C, Lamond J, Mant J, Maskrey S, Mount N, Sleigh A, Smith L, Wright N. . WIT Transactions on Ecology and the Environment 2014, 184, 113-124.
    • Birkinshaw SJ, Moore P, Kilsby CG, O'Donnell GM, Hardy AJ, Berry PAM. . Hydrological Processes 2014, 28(3), 1043-1054.
    • Hall JW, Henriques JJ, Hickford AJ, Nicholls RJ, Baruah P, Birkin M, Chaudry M, Curtis TP, Eyre N, Jones C, Kilsby CG, Leathard A, Lorenz A, Malleson N, McLeod F, Powrie W, Preston J, Rai N, Street R, Stringfellow A, Thoung C, Tyler P, Velykiene R, Watson G, Watson JW. . Journal of Infrastructure Systems 2014, 20(3).
    • Forsythe N, Fowler HJ, Blenkinsop S, Burton A, Kilsby CG, Archer DR, Harpham C, Hashmi MZ. . Journal of Hydrology 2014, 517, 1019-1034.
    • Guerreiro SB, Kilsby CG, Serinaldi F. . International Journal of Climatology 2014, 34(1), 114-133.
    • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. . Water Resources Research 2013, 49(6), 3423-3442.
    • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. . Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 2013, 392(5), 1080-1089.
    • Burton A, Glenis V, Jones MR, Kilsby CG. . Environmental Modelling & Software 2013, 49, 22-33.
    • Glenis V, McGough AS, Kutija V, Kilsby C, Woodman S. . Journal of Cloud Computing: Advances, Systems and Applications 2013, 2(1), 7.
    • Jones MR, Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, Blenkinsop S. . International Journal of Climatology 2013, 33(5), 1178-1194.
    • Hall JW, Watts G, Keil M, de Vial L, Street R, Conlan K, O'Connell PE, Beven KJ, Kilsby CG. . Water and Environment Journal 2012, 26(1), 118-129.
    • Ewen J, O'Connell E, Bathurst J, Birkinshaw SJ, Kilsby C, Parkin G, O'Donnell G. . Hydrology Research 2012, 43(6), 945-947.
    • Forsythe N, Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, Archer DR. . Water Resources Management 2012, 26(4), 845-871.
    • Bovolo CI, Pereira R, Parkin G, Kilsby C, Wagner T. . International Journal of Climatology 2012, 32(11), 1665-1689.
    • Blanc J, Hall JW, Roche N, Dawson RJ, Cesses Y, Burton A, Kilsby CG. . Journal of Flood Risk Management 2012, 5(2), 143-152.
    • Forsythe N, Kilsby CG, Fowler HJ, Archer DR. . Mountain Research and Development 2012, 32(1), 16-29.
    • Serinaldi F, Kilsby CG. . Journal of Hydrology 2012, 464-465, 528-540.
    • Jones PD, Harpham C, Goodess CM, Kilsby CG. . Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics 2011, 18(4), 503-511.
    • Birkinshaw SJ, O'Donnell GM, Moore P, Kilsby CG, Fowler HJ, Berry PAM. . Hydrological Processes 2010, 24(26), 3811-3825.
    • Manning LJ, Hall JW, Kilsby CG, Glendinning S, Anderson MG. . Hydrological Processes 2008, 22(17), 3349-3360.
    • Burton A, Kilsby CG, Fowler HJ, Cowpertwait PSP, O'Connell PE. . Environmental Modelling & Software 2008, 23(12), 1356-1369.
    • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG. . Climatic Change 2007, 80(3-4), 337-367.
    • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, Stunell J. . Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 2007, 11(3), 1115-1126.
    • Walsh CL, Kilsby CG. . Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 2007, 11(3), 1127-1143.
    • Kilsby CG, Tellier SS, Fowler HJ, Howels TR. . Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 2007, 11(3), 1175-1189.
    • Kilsby CG, Jones PD, Burton A, Ford AC, Fowler HJ, Harpham C, James P, Smith A, Wilby RL. . Environmental Modelling and Software 2007, 22(12), 1705-1719.
    • Ekström M, Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, Jones PD. . Journal of Hydrology 2005, 300(1-4), 234-251.
    • Fowler HJ, Ekström M, Kilsby CG, Jones PD. . Journal of Hydrology 2005, 300(1-4), 212-233.
    • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, O'Connell PE, Burton A. . Journal of Hydrology 2005, 308(1-4), 50-66.
    • Sloan WT, Kilsby CG, Lunn R. . Hydrological Processes 2004, 18(17), 3371-3390.
    • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, O'Connell PE. . Water Resources Research 2003, 39(8), 1222.
    • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG. . Geophysical Research Letters 2003, 30(13), 1720.
    • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG. . International Journal of Climatology 2003, 23(11), 1313-1334.
    • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG. . International Journal of Climatology 2002, 22(7), 843-866.
    • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG. . Journal of Hydrology 2002, 262(1-4), 177-192.
    • Cowpertwait PSP, Kilsby CG, O'Connell PE. . Water Resources Research 2002, 38(8), 1131.
    • Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG, O'Connell PE. . Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 2000, 4(2), 263-281.
    • Ewen J, Sloan WT, Kilsby CG, O'Connell PE. . Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 1999, 3(1), 125-136.
    • Kilsby CG, Ewen J, Sloan WT, Burton A, Fallows CS, O'Connell PE. . Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 1999, 3(1), 137-149.
    • Kilsby CG, Cowpertwait PSP, O'Connell PE, Jones PD. . International Journal of Climatology 1998, 18(5), 523-539.

  • Authored Books

    • Jones PD, Kilsby CG, Harpham C, Glenis V, Burton A. . London, UK: UK Climate Impacts Programme, 2010.
    • Jones PD, Kilsby CG, Harpham C, Glenis V, Burton A. . London, UK: UK Climate Impacts Programme, 2009.

  • Book Chapter

    • Simpson M, Ives MC, Hall JW, Kilsby CG. . In: The Future of National Infrastructure: A System-of-Systems Approach. Cambridge University Press, 2016, pp.114-133.

  • Conference Proceedings (inc. Abstracts)

    • Ahilan S, Wright N, Sleigh A, Too S, Glenis V, Kilsby C, Kutija V. . In: 11th International Conference on Hydroinformatics. 2014, New York, USA: Duraspace.
    • Galatioto F, Glenis V, Roberts R, Kilsby C. . In: 2nd International Conference on Urban Sustainability and Resilience. 2014, University College London, UK.
    • Glenis V, Kutija V, Kilsby C, McGough AS, Woodman S. . In: International Conference on Flood Resilience Experiences in Asia and Europe (ICFR 2013). 2013, Exeter, UK.
    • Dawson RJ, Walsh CL, Kilsby CG. . In: Earth Systems Engineering 2012: A technical symposium on systems engineering for sustainable adaptation to global change. 2012, 缅北禁地 upon Tyne, UK: Centre for Earth Systems Engineering Research, 缅北禁地.
    • Kilsby CG, Moaven-Hashemi A, O'Connell PE. . In: First International Conference on Flood Risk. 2004, University of Bath: Institute of Mathematics and its Applications.

  • Editorial

    • Walsh C, Fowler H, Kilsby C, Black A. . Hydrology Research 2012, 43(5), 548-550.

  • Report

    • Blenkinsop S, Fowler HJ, Kilsby CG. . UK: Defra, 2010. UKCP Technical Note.